{"id":20934,"date":"2025-05-21T15:42:51","date_gmt":"2025-05-21T15:42:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/bitcoin-enters-acceleration-phase-resembling-btc-price-gains-seen-after-trump-election-victory\/"},"modified":"2025-05-21T15:42:51","modified_gmt":"2025-05-21T15:42:51","slug":"bitcoin-enters-acceleration-phase-resembling-btc-price-gains-seen-after-trump-election-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/bitcoin-enters-acceleration-phase-resembling-btc-price-gains-seen-after-trump-election-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin enters \u2018acceleration phase\u2019 resembling BTC price gains seen after Trump election victory"},"content":{"rendered":"

Key takeaways:<\/strong> <\/p>\n

The Bitcoin Quantile Model shows \u201cheat\u201d with price on the verge of an \u201cacceleration phase,\u201d echoing Q4 2024 when BTC embarked on a 45% post-election rally.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin (BTC) <\/a>price has formed a new intraday high on each daily candle this week, with the crypto asset slowly grinding toward a new all-time high. In line with its current trajectory, 21st Capital co-founder Sina noted<\/a> that Bitcoin is approaching a pivotal moment around the $108,000 level.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Bitcoin Quantile Model update shows that BTC\u2019s market reflects the same \u201cheat\u201d that was present after President Trump\u2019s post-election rally and the spot ETF-driven highs during Q4 2024. The model, which uses quantile regression to map Bitcoin\u2019s price phases on a logarithmic scale, indicates the cryptocurrency is in the Transition Zone, a critical juncture before the Acceleration Phase. Throughout Q4, 2024, Bitcoin rallied by 45% after entering a price discovery period above $74,500.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Quantile Model. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n

As illustrated in the chart, once it breaks into the “Acceleration” Phase, it could trigger BTC\u2019s next leg or the mid-phase, typically between the 33% and 66% range. Based on the model, BTC is expected to progressively target price levels of $130,000 and $163,000 in the coming months.\u00a0<\/p>\n

However, anonymous Bitcoin analyst apsk32 believed<\/a> a price target above $200,000 is a \u201creasonable\u201d expectation for 2025. Basing the projection on Bitcoin\u2019s \u201cpower curve,\u201d the analyst noted that BTC\u2019s position relative to gold has significantly improved since April.\u00a0<\/p>\n

From a technical standpoint, this view is supported by the recent convergence of the Sharpe ratios for Bitcoin and gold, suggesting<\/a> that the two hard assets now offer comparable risk-to-reward profiles to their investors.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Fidelity\u2019s Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer shed light on this development, recommending a 4:1 goal-to-Bitcoin ratio from an allocation perspective.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Related:\u00a0Bitcoin ‘blow-off top’ set at $128K with new all-time highs in sight<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Strong Bitcoin volumes \u201cfinal straw\u201d before new highs\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Crypto researcher Aylo analyzed<\/a> BTC\u2019s historical price action when the crypto asset consolidates near its all-time high level. In an X post, the analyst explained,\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cThe data shows when BTC gets close to its previous ATH during a strong, accelerating trend with high momentum, it has historically broken out to new ATHs within a short time (days to weeks).\u201d<\/p>\n

However, weaker trends have led to stalls or retraces between March and May 2024. Currently, Bitcoin exhibits a strong trend but lacks the necessary trading volume, which remains the final straw to confirm a breakout, a factor that could delay upward movement.<\/p>\n

Alyo added that for Bitcoin to break its all-time highs, daily trading volume should exceed the previous 10 days, be at least 1.5 times the 20-day average, and ideally sustain a 3-day increase while the price holds steady or rises.<\/p>\n

Data from CryptoQuant<\/a> has reinforced Aylo\u2019s concerns about trading volume. On May 21, retail investor demand for Bitcoin, defined as wallets buying\/selling between $0 and $10,000, remained low at just 3.2% over 30 days, despite BTC trading within $2,000 of its all-time high.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s retail investor volumes. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/p>\n

For comparison, bullish retail demand accounted for approximately 30% in December 2024\u2014nearly 10 times higher than current levels\u2014even though Bitcoin was well below, at a price range of $96,000 to $97,000.<\/p>\n

Related:\u00a0How high can Bitcoin price go?<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Key takeaways: The Bitcoin Quantile Model shows \u201cheat\u201d with price on the verge of an \u201cacceleration phase,\u201d echoing Q4 2024 when BTC embarked on a 45% post-election rally. Bitcoin (BTC) price has formed a new intraday high on each daily candle this week, with the crypto asset slowly grinding toward a new all-time high. In […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":20935,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-digital-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20934"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20934\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20935"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}