{"id":20430,"date":"2025-05-13T22:20:51","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T22:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/market-volatility-indicator-still-points-to-135k-bitcoin-within-100-days-analyst\/"},"modified":"2025-05-13T22:20:51","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T22:20:51","slug":"market-volatility-indicator-still-points-to-135k-bitcoin-within-100-days-analyst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/market-volatility-indicator-still-points-to-135k-bitcoin-within-100-days-analyst\/","title":{"rendered":"Market volatility indicator still points to $135K Bitcoin within 100 days \u2014 Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Key Takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin price holds above $100,000, driven by &#8220;risk-on&#8221; sentiment after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to 20. <\/p>\n<p>The Bitcoin Bull Score Index surged to 80, and the Fear &amp; Greed Index suggests growing optimism, with historical patterns indicating potential for further price gains.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" target=\"null\" title=\"null\">(BTC)<\/a> price continues to consolidate higher above $100,000 after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to its 30-year average of 20, down from a peak of 60 earlier in 2025. This decline follows a US-China trade deal on May 12, which introduced a 90-day tariff pause and a 115% reduction on both sides.<\/p>\n<p><em>CBOE Volatility Index chart. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The agreement has fueled a &#8220;risk-on&#8221; sentiment, boosting Bitcoin and equities as investors lean into higher-risk assets, according to Bitcoin network economist Timothy Peterson. The analyst said,\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201c$VIX dropped substantially yesterday on news of a potential China trade deal. It is now at &#8216;normal&#8217; levels. This will be a &#8216;risk on&#8217; environment for the foreseeable future.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Adding to the bullish sentiment, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate dropped to 2.3% year-over-year in April 2025, the lowest since February 2021, down from 2.4% in March and below consensus forecasts of 2.4%. This softer-than-expected CPI reading signals easing inflationary pressure, potentially increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025, assuming other economic indicators align.<\/p>\n<p>With respect to the current macroeconomic dynamics\u2014lower volatility, cooling inflation, and a trade war truce- it creates favorable market conditions for Bitcoin. <\/p>\n<p>Earlier this month, Peterson <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-data-macroeconomic-charts-point-to-new-btc-all-time-high-in-100-days-analysts\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-data-macroeconomic-charts-point-to-new-btc-all-time-high-in-100-days-analysts\">noted<\/a> that BTC could reach $135,000 within 100 days, citing a drop in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) from 55 to 25, signaling a &#8220;risk-on&#8221; environment. With 95% accuracy, his model links low VIX levels to increased investor confidence in riskier assets like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-shrugs-off-us-cpi-win-binance-ceo-says-btc-leading-pack\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-shrugs-off-us-cpi-win-binance-ceo-says-btc-leading-pack\"><em><strong>Related: Bitcoin shrugs off US CPI win as Binance CEO says BTC &#8216;leading pack&#8217;<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin bull score index reaches yearly high<\/h2>\n<p>After posting one of its least bullish phases in two years during April, Bitcoin sentiment flipped drastically to its highest reading in 2025. Data from CryptoQuant <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/analytics\/query\/67dada27f3ae1b2f63a97872?v=67db0d08a2a7203afd386b89\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/analytics\/query\/67dada27f3ae1b2f63a97872?v=67db0d08a2a7203afd386b89\">indicated<\/a> a dramatic rise in the Bitcoin Bull Score Index, soaring from 20 to 80, a level historically associated with significant price surges. <\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin: bull score index. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This shift, driven by rising spot demand outpacing supply, reflects patterns observed after the April 2024 halving, suggesting Bitcoin could be poised for further gains.<\/p>\n<p>Likewise, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1921816919423738018\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1921816919423738018\">noted<\/a> that while the Bitcoin Fear &amp; Greed Index is climbing, currently at 53.3%, it remains below the &#8220;overloaded&#8221; zone above 80%. The analyst discussed the possibility of a market \u201cupswing,\u201d expressing hope for a successful test and surpassing Bitcoin\u2019s all-time high near $110,000. <\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin\u2019s Fear &amp; Greed Index. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-profit-taking-at-106-k-the-first-stop-before-new-all-time-btc-price-highs\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-profit-taking-at-106-k-the-first-stop-before-new-all-time-btc-price-highs\"><em><strong>Related: Bitcoin profit taking at $106K the first stop before new all-time BTC price highs<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Takeaways: Bitcoin price holds above $100,000, driven by &#8220;risk-on&#8221; sentiment after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to 20. The Bitcoin Bull Score Index surged to 80, and the Fear &amp; Greed Index suggests growing optimism, with historical patterns indicating potential for further price gains. Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to consolidate higher above $100,000 [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":20431,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-digital-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20430\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}