{"id":19772,"date":"2025-05-02T19:35:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-02T19:35:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/bitcoin-data-macroeconomic-charts-point-to-new-btc-all-time-high-in-100-days-analysts\/"},"modified":"2025-05-02T19:35:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-02T19:35:09","slug":"bitcoin-data-macroeconomic-charts-point-to-new-btc-all-time-high-in-100-days-analysts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/bitcoin-data-macroeconomic-charts-point-to-new-btc-all-time-high-in-100-days-analysts\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin data, macroeconomic charts point to new BTC all-time high \u2018in 100 days\u2019 \u2014 Analysts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Key Takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Analyst predicts a low VIX (<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin network economist Timothy Peterson raised Bitcoin\u2019s (<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" target=\"null\" title=\"null\">BTC<\/a>) chances of hitting a new high in 100 days, and he maintains an optimistic outlook in 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In an <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nsquaredvalue\/status\/1917939713693863954\" target=\"null\" title=\"null\">analysis shared on X<\/a> that ties BTC\u2019s price action to the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) \u2014an indicator that measures 30-day market volatility expectations \u2014 the analyst pointed out that the VIX index has dropped from 55 to 25 over the past 50 trading days. A VIX score below 18 implied a \u201crisk-on\u201d environment, favoring assets like Bitcoin.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Peterson\u2019s model, which had a 95% tracking accuracy, predicted a $135,000 target within the next 100 days if the VIX remains low. This aligns with Bitcoin\u2019s sensitivity to market sentiment, as a low VIX reduces uncertainty, encouraging investment in riskier assets.<\/p>\n<p>Speaking on Bitcoin\u2019s volatility, Fidelity\u2019s director of global macro, Jurrien Timmer, compared Bitcoin\u2019s nature to \u201cDr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde.\u201d Timmer believed Bitcoin\u2019s ability to act as both a store of value (Dr. Jekyll) and a speculative asset (Mr. Hyde) differentiates it from gold, which remains a consistent \u201chard money\u201d asset. Timmer <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TimmerFidelity\/status\/1918295943478235588\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TimmerFidelity\/status\/1918295943478235588\">emphasized<\/a> the dynamics between Bitcoin and the global money supply and said,\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNote that when M2 has grown and the stock market is rallying, Bitcoin has been off to the races because it has both attributes working for it. But when M2 has grown and\u00a0equities are correcting, not so much.\u201d<em>Bitcoin price against global money supply. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This underscores Bitcoin\u2019s sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, making its performance less predictable than gold\u2019s.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/crypto-decoupling-story-ends-as-stocks-follow-bitcoin-s-rally\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/crypto-decoupling-story-ends-as-stocks-follow-bitcoin-s-rally\"><em><strong>Related: Crypto \u2018decoupling\u2019 story ends as stocks follow Bitcoin\u2019s rally<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Stablecoin market cap hits record $220 billion<\/h2>\n<p>Data from CryptoQuant <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1918305015753584706\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1918305015753584706\">highlighted<\/a> that the stablecoin market capitalization hit a record $220 billion, signaling a liquidity surge in the crypto market. This marks Bitcoin\u2019s exit from a bearish phase as capital flows return, and with stablecoins representing crypto liquidity, new BTC highs could be a likely outcome in the coming weeks.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While BTC continues its uptrend, lower-time frame (LTF) charts reveal a shift in market dynamics. The funding rate for BTC futures has turned negative again, indicating a rise in short positions as traders bet against the rally. <\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin 4-hour chart and funding rate. Source: Velo.chart<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The 4-hour chart&#8217;s funding rate has reached its most negative level in 2025, indicating that short-side liquidity significantly exceeds long-side liquidity. This creates a condition for a potential short squeeze.<\/p>\n<p>This imbalance could propel BTC toward the $100,000 level. Cointelegraph <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Cointelegraph\/status\/1918271752876245127\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Cointelegraph\/status\/1918271752876245127\">pointed out <\/a>that over $3 billion is at risk for a short-side liquidation, which may amplify upward momentum, catching bearish traders off guard.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin short liquidations data. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-hodler-unrealized-profits-near-350-100k-risks-sell-off\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-hodler-unrealized-profits-near-350-100k-risks-sell-off\"><em><strong>Related:\u00a0Bitcoin hodler unrealized profits near 350% as $100K risks sell-off<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Takeaways: Analyst predicts a low VIX ( Bitcoin network economist Timothy Peterson raised Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC) chances of hitting a new high in 100 days, and he maintains an optimistic outlook in 2025.\u00a0 In an analysis shared on X that ties BTC\u2019s price action to the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) \u2014an indicator that measures 30-day [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":19773,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-digital-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19772"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19772\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19773"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}