{"id":19696,"date":"2025-05-01T19:54:53","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T19:54:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/bitcoin-trader-says-btcs-cycle-top-in-125k-to-150k-range-if-certain-conditions-are-met\/"},"modified":"2025-05-01T19:54:53","modified_gmt":"2025-05-01T19:54:53","slug":"bitcoin-trader-says-btcs-cycle-top-in-125k-to-150k-range-if-certain-conditions-are-met","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/bitcoin-trader-says-btcs-cycle-top-in-125k-to-150k-range-if-certain-conditions-are-met\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin trader says BTC\u2019s cycle top in $125K to $150K range if certain conditions are met"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Key takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by August or September of this year if BTC breaks above the parabolic slope pattern. <\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\">(BTC) <\/a>price jumped to new quarterly highs at $96,700 on May 1, a day after the <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-selling-at-95-k-is-profit-taking-pressure-test-but-btc-whales-are-still-buying\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-selling-at-95-k-is-profit-taking-pressure-test-but-btc-whales-are-still-buying\">US GDP contracted<\/a> -0.3% for the first time since Q2 2022. Amid heightened economic concerns, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\">probability<\/a> of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut rose to 62.8% for the June 18 Federal Reserve meeting. <\/p>\n<p>Over the past 24 hours, short position liquidations exceeded $137 million, with Alphractal founder Joao Wedson <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/joao_wedson\/status\/1917938885234958731\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/joao_wedson\/status\/1917938885234958731\">observing<\/a> that BTC&#8217;s price momentum continues to favor bullish trends.<\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin aggregated liquidation heatmap. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Peter Brandt predicts a $150K Bitcoin top by Q3<\/h2>\n<p>In a recent post on X, veteran trader Peter Brandt forecasted a Bitcoin price rally, potentially reaching $125,000 to $150,000 by August or September 2025. The trader <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1917927972625121316\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/1917927972625121316\">predicted<\/a> a parabolic arc pattern in Bitcoin\u2019s price chart\u2014a technical formation often signaling rapid rises followed by sharp corrections, as seen in the 2017 Bitcoin surge. <\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin 1-week analysis by Peter Brandt. Source: X.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Brandt noted that Bitcoin must reclaim its broken parabolic slope to achieve the above target. However, he cautioned that a 50%+ correction could follow the peak, reflecting the pattern\u2019s characteristic volatility. <\/p>\n<p>From an onchain perspective, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a \u201cstart\u201d rally zone. The analyst underlined three scenarios, with the optimistic (bull) case outlining a price target above $150,000. Adler Jr. <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68132a92d8b2fe24bcd055cc-Bitcoin-is-warming-up-3-scenarios-that-could-shape-the-next-rally\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68132a92d8b2fe24bcd055cc-Bitcoin-is-warming-up-3-scenarios-that-could-shape-the-next-rally\">added,<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf the Ratio breaks through 1.0 and holds above it, the NUPL\/MVRV metrics will show a new impulse, and the price could reach $150-175K, repeating the cycle logic of 2017 and 2021.\u201d<em>Bitcoin Composite Index. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In a baseline scenario, BTC&#8217;s price may consolidate within a $90,000 to $110,000 range if new capital inflows remain limited and existing investors do not increase their positions.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, a bearish case could unfold if further profit-taking from short-term holders takes place, leading to a correction down to $85,000-$70,000. <\/p>\n<p>Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has displayed a consistent breakout pattern, surging 13% before entering sideways consolidation, then breaking out again to reach $93,000\u2013$96,000. <\/p>\n<p>BTC is currently breaking out of its existing resistance range. Still, as shown in the chart below, a significant volume cluster between $96,000 and $99,000 suggests a phase of consolidation before Bitcoin can test the $100,000 mark. <\/p>\n<p><em>Bitcoin 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-blast-higher-fed-rate-cut-odds-60\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-blast-higher-fed-rate-cut-odds-60\"><em><strong>Related: Bitcoin price about to \u2018blast\u2019 higher as Fed rate cut odds jump to 60%<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key takeaways: Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by August or September of this year if BTC breaks above the parabolic slope pattern. Bitcoin (BTC) price jumped to new quarterly highs at $96,700 on May 1, a day after the US GDP contracted -0.3% for the first time since Q2 2022. Amid heightened economic concerns, the probability [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":19697,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-digital-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19696","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19696"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19696\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19696"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19696"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gold.creditcard\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19696"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}